| Issue |
Math. Model. Nat. Phenom.
Volume 15, 2020
Coronavirus: Scientific insights and societal aspects
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Article Number | 40 | |
| Number of page(s) | 13 | |
| DOI | https://doi.org/10.1051/mmnp/2020031 | |
| Published online | 17 August 2020 | |
Lifting the COVID-19 lockdown: different scenarios for France
University of Bordeaux, GREThA, 16 avenue Léon Duguit,CS 50057,
33608
Pessac Cedex, France.
* Corresponding author: emmanuelle.augeraud@u-bordeaux.fr
† The author was supported by the ANR ash COVID-19: MPCUII grant.
Received:
7
April
2020
Accepted:
26
July
2020
A mathematical model has been developed to study the spread of the COVID-19 epidemic in France. To calibrate the model, data from the French Public Health Agency were examined. The spread of the epidemic greatly depends on lockdown measures (referred to in France as ‘confinement’). The aim of this paper is to predict the expected evolution of the epidemic based on the various possible scenarios for ending the lockdown. The spread of the disease, and its re-emergence, will be determined by these scenarios.
Mathematics Subject Classification: 92.10 / 92D30
Key words: COVID-19 / confinement / public health policy
© The authors. Published by EDP Sciences, 2020
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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