Table 5

Asummary of the model predictions for the three scenarios. The dates are given in the dd/mm/yyyy format.

Scenario Total cases Percent of deaths Peak date Last case Epidemic end
I- Without control measures 86.4% 4% 03/05/2020 16/05/2020 14/06/2020
II- Restricted movement 42.4% 3.2% 25/04/2020 05/05/2020 03/06/2020
III- Restricted movement 30.8% 2.4% 21/04/2020 15/05/2020 12/06/2020
+ mask wearing

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