Scenario 0 in France. Left: number of occupied ICU beds (estimated by the model). Right: evolution of the number of active cases, the number of infected individuals and the number of recoveries until early December 2020 (estimated by the model). We observe that the peak of the epidemic occurs at the beginning or end of June 2020, depending on the value of the IFR. Values up to March 17th 2020 are actual (public data).