Table 1
Scenario 0 (evolution of the epidemic in France without strict lockdown on March 17th 2020). Main indicators on the date of relaxing lockdown (May 11th), June 15th, July 31st and August 31st 2020.
| 15/4/2020 | 11/5/2020 | 15/6/2020 | 31/7/2020 | 31/8/2020 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total deaths in hospital | 11829 | 39119 | 101717 | 159663 | 171190 | |
| Daily deaths in hospital | 689 | 1423 | 1868 | 636 | 195 | |
| α = 0.6% (IFR) | ICU | 10986 | 22694. | 29563 | 10287 | 3181 |
| Infected | 6282628 | 13775511 | 23476048 | 28315221 | 29031306 | |
| (9.36%) | (20.54%) | (35.00%) | (42.22%) | (43.28%) | ||
| Recovered | 2324174 | 7218145 | 17764407 | 26746052 | 28450238 | |
| Active cases | 3946624 | 6518245 | 5609923 | 1409505 | 409877 | |
| Total deaths in hospital | 11876 | 41637 | 133337 | 280397 | 325436 | |
| Daily deaths in hospital | 702 | 1663 | 3432 | 2249 | 846 | |
| α = 1.2% | ICU | 11233 | 26737 | 54390 | 35984 | 13703 |
| (IFR) | Infected | 3331208 | 8394252 | 18468035 | 26656200 | 28244898 |
| (4.96%) | (12.51%) | (27.53%) | (39.74%) | (42.11%) | ||
| Recovered | 1163428 | 3863872 | 11839933 | 23613638 | 26988761 | |
| Active cases | 2155903 | 4488741 | 6494764 | 2762164 | 930701 | |
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