A discrete epidemic model and a zigzag strategy for curbing the Covid-19 outbreak and for lifting the lockdown

Tahar Z. Boulmezaoud

doi:10.1051/mmnp/2020043

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Volume 15 (2020)

Math. Model. Nat. Phenom., 15 (2020) 75

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Coronavirus: Scientific insights and societal aspects

Open Access

Table A.1

Coefficients of coronavirus transmission Sars-2019 by country (calibrated) (FR: France, IT: Italy, ESP: Spain, USA: United States of America, UK: United Kingdom, GER: Germany, KOR: South Korea, BEL: Belgium, CHN: China, WR: World.

	FR	IT	ESP	USA	UK	GER	KOR	BEL	CHINA	WORLD
Period of	23/3/2020	27/3/2020	18/3/2020	17/3/2020	23/3/2020	8/4/2020	19/3/2020	22/3/2020	15/2/2020	31/3/2020
calibration	− 2/4/2020	− 6/4/2020	− 28/3/2020	− 27/3/2020	− 2/4/2020	− 17/4/2020	− 29/3/2020	− 31/3/2020	15/2/2020	− 9/4/2020
λ₀	0.1176	0.1176	0.1176	0.1176	0	0.1176	0	0.1176	0.1176	0.1176
λ₁	0.1103	0.1103	0.1103	0.1103	0.0617	0.1103	0.0173	0.1103	0.1103	0.1103
λ₂	0.1029	0.1029	0.1029	0.1029	0.1233	0.1029	0.0346	0.1029	0.1029	0.1029
λ₃	0.0956	0.0956	0.0956	0.0956	0.1147	0.0956	0.0518	0.0956	0.0956	0.0956
λ₄	0.0882	0.0882	0.0882	0.0882	0.106	0.0882	0.0691	0.0882	0.0882	0.0882
λ₅	0.0809	0.0809	0.0809	0.0809	0.0973	0.0809	0.0864	0.0809	0.0809	0.0882
λ₆	0.0735	0.0735	0.0735	0.0735	0.0887	0.0735	0.1037	0.0735	0.0735	0.0735
λ₇	0.0662	0.0662	0.0662	0.0662	0.08	0.0662	0.1104	0.0662	0.0662	0.0662
λ₈	0.0588	0.0588	0.0588	0.0588	0.0714	0.0588	0.1171	0.0588	0.0588	0.0588
λ₉	0.0515	0.0515	0.0515	0.0515	0.0627	0.0515	0.1024	0.0515	0.0515	0.0515
λ₁₀	0.0441	0.0441	0.0441	0.0441	0.054	0.0441	0.0878	0.0441	0.0441	0.0441
λ₁₁	0.0368	0.0368	0.0368	0.0368	0.0454	0.0368	0.0732	0.0368	0.0368	0.0368
λ₁₂	0.0294	0.0294	0.0294	0.0294	0.0367	0.0294	0.0585	0.0294	0.0294	0.0294
λ₁₃	0.0221	0.0221	0.0221	0.0221	0.0281	0.0221	0.0439	0.0221	0.0221	0.0221
λ₁₄	0.0147	0.0147	0.0147	0.0147	0.0194	0.0147	0.0293	0.0147	0.0147	0.0147
λ₁₅	0.0074	0.0074	0.0074	0.0074	0.0107	0.0074	0.0146	0.0074	0.0074	0.0074
λ₁₆	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

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