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(a) Populations of the quarantined infectious and the quarantined removed individuals as functions of elapsed time since the COVID-19 outbreak in Chinese mainland. The circles represent the surveillance data by the China CDC from January 23 to June 16 with different colors indicating the reported data before and after February 12, and the colored area represents 95% CI of the model prediction using the parameters inferred by Algorithm 1. (b) Inferred removal rate of the quarantined symptomatic population.
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